Coronavirus Covid 19 Data Prediction Malaysia | Movement Control Order

Coronavirus Covid 19 Data Prediction Malaysia | Movement Control Order

Coronavirus Covid 19 Data Prediction Malaysia | Movement Control Order

#spss #kajidataonline #ministryof health #stayathome

welcome to my channel online calm okay ladies and gentlemen today I would like to share some of the idea in terms of data analysis based on the current public health issues covered 19 so this is the first important website that you should refer with which is our Ministry of Health’s government to report and also updating any new cases related to the copy 19 so as you can see there are few ideas and also and data available here and if you would like to see more about this copy 19 you can also refer to another video infographic and so on or else you can also click the link up provided down there about militia Keeney website they call it as a new slab new slab sub domain where they have a very extensive and updating data that gathered the Minister of Health database on the reporting mechanism and then they also provide some insight of a view of the special condition in each of the state in Malaysia and you can also browse through with regard to the patient information and they give you some idea about the number of the cases and where this particular context got the contact from and then they also plot some sort of spatial mapping with regard to the copy 90 cases okay another one will be the outbreak god mine okay I’ll break down my is another online platform also that they retrieved information from Ministry of Health and also from Melissa Kinney website you need also provide a very extensive case by case according to the states they got also the statistical analysis with regard to the conditions of each of the data and then they also provide a very good network analysis that clearly giving you some information about where the condition of the disease take place from exposure to and exposure from where the patient’s got that contact towards the virus and then the last but not least is actually the famous one we call it as the copy 90 global cases center of system science and engineering under the John Hawk University so you can also look into the statistic here and then you can also observe body active cases and then down here you can browse through and download the data from the github and also some special data from exists okay so based on all this information I already construc I would say I would say this is not a very accurate prediction is just plug and play and also using some basic understanding of the forecasting technique and I already retrieve all of this data from the website that I mentioned to you just now so based on the data tabulated here and I also not predict but I just tabulated cutting until the fourth approach 2020 and I run a few models here they’re already being explain in this graph so this graph actually talking about the current statistical condition a current data reported and being tabulated using the statistical technique and also some statistical model so one of the model that I’m using is actually the ARIMA model you can see here the orange color are reversed and for auto regressive integrated moving average using the SPSS okay this is the data and then I got the predicted cases and lower case lower and upper bound and then based on that projected data simulated by the computer computational element.

Coronavirus Covid 19 Data Prediction Malaysia | Movement Control Order

I produce this graph looking for the predictions towards the higher possible cases that will be reported in in the next few days and also I plotted the data that already being forecast using the ARIMA model 1 1 0 so according to the expert model under the ARIMA model we can see that the reported cases that possibly being simulate is around 113 and then I further use the data for the auto regressive model which is it’s just a simple model talking about tomorrow data is being predicted by using 2d data that’s mean what happened tomorrow it depends on what happened today so based on that we can see that a very very good declining of the possible disease spread and also I think this is will will be happening hopefully allah subhanallah will help us on this theater of fact that the government’s already implement movement control order with which restrict the movement of the personnel to go to the office and then they need to stay inside the home which is I think a very good implementation to control the spread of the disease so this is just academic and educational kind of analysis so if you interested to learn about how this graph or how this prediction being construct you can command down this video and if you want to know more I think that’s all for today so remember this is just an idea and hopefully the movement control are the causes by our government impact okay that’s all thank you for watching this video and see you.

 

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